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For corporate security · Crime Science

Spend on security only where and when the risk is.

In Mexico City, half of all high-impact crime happens in less than 5% of the territory. Aleph’s risk index, by block and hour, tells you which 5% matters to your operation.

Puebla–Orizaba route over municipalities shaded by vehicle theft per 100,000 residents

What it does

What it includes

For: Corporate security managers and analysts

  • Incident mapMore than 11 million geocoded incidents
  • Risk indexFrom 1 to 5 by block and hour
  • Risk by siteEach branch or plant against your network
  • Data science modelsConcentration, kernel density, trends and forecasting

The mathematics of crime, published in Science

Aleph’s data science team, with Dr. Rafael Prieto Curiel

Dr. Rafael Prieto CurielAleph scientific advisor since 2018 · Faculty at the Complexity Science Hub, Vienna

PhD in Applied Mathematics from UCL. He led strategic analysis at Mexico City’s C5 emergency center, building crime prediction and police allocation models.

  • Concentration by place and hour
  • Kernel density
  • Trends and shocks
  • Forecasting

Some of his papers

  1. Reducing cartel recruitment is the only way to lower violence in MexicoScience, 2023Cartels must recruit 350 to 370 people a week; reducing recruitment is what lowers violence.
  2. Weekly Crime ConcentrationJournal of Quantitative Criminology, 2021A few hours of the week concentrate most crime, and each crime has its own “heartbeat”.
  3. Measuring the Distribution of Crime and Its ConcentrationJournal of Quantitative Criminology, 2018A standard measure of how concentrated crime is across the population.
  4. Does crime (n)ever skip a beat? Analyzing crime heartbeats in a European cityTime & Society, 2025Concentration in time is a stable signature of each crime, down to the street segment.
See all his papers →

Source: public CV and Google Scholar, October 2026

Focus your spend: 6 of 40 sites carry 78% of the risk

Risk index of the 10 most exposed sites in your network

Example with sample data

More than 30% savings on guard services with no rise in incidents, by matching each station’s risk by hour against guard type and shift.

Oil company with service stations

Works with

Frequently asked questions

Where do the incidents come from, and how often are they updated?

From more than 250 sources: official data (SESNSP, prosecutors, 911), open sources verified by analysts and a network of companies that share what happens to them anonymously. Incidence daily; blockades within minutes.

Should I use the Consola or Aliado?

Today, the Consola. Its layers move to Aliado in stages during 2027; your account executive will give you the date.